2024 Senate Election Forecast Maps - 270toWin [48], As of March 2023, no prominent Republicans have announced a campaign. [138], Criminologist Tracy Andrus has announced that he would run as a Democrat. That makes the decisions of undecided incumbents critical ahead of whats likely to be another narrowly divided Senate next year, with seats Democrats used to hold in Missouri, Indiana and North Dakota drifting further away. [34][35], A third Democratic House member, Barbara Lee, reportedly told members of the Congressional Black Caucus in January that she would also run for Senate. California Democrats are unlikely to wait for her, already eyeing the seat as essentially open in 2024. Incumbent: Democrat Sherrod Brown. January 24, 2023:Initial ratings. April 21:No changes. Cardin's communications director, Sue Walitsky, tells The Associated Press that the 79-year-old plans to release a statement saying he will not seek reelection. By Nathaniel Rakich. On March 27, 2023, Warren announced that she is running for re-election. [1] Two Democratic U.S. 2024 United States Senate election in Arizona - Wikipedia 2024 United States Senate election in California - Wikipedia They are arranged so that the parties are separated, and a majority is clear by crossing the middle. The 10 Senate seats most likely to flip in 2024 | CNN Politics On May 1, 2023, he announced that he would not be seeking . Operations: Meghann Olshefski Mandy Morris Kelly Rindfleisch Some of those wrestling with whether to run hold safe seats, like Ben Cardin of Maryland and Tom Carper of Delaware. It Probably Won't Work. 10, 2023. Policy: Christopher Nelson Caitlin Styrsky Molly Byrne Jimmy McAllister Samuel Postell Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, D-N.Y., is "not planning" to issue a primary challenge for Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand, D-N.Y.'s seat in the Senate, which is up for reelection in 2024. 4 leader. [citation needed], Four-term Democrat Tom Carper was re-elected in 2018 with 60.0% of the vote. Of the 33 regularly scheduled elections in 2024, 10 seats are held by Republicans, 20 seats are held by Democrats and three seats are held by independents who caucus with Democrats. -webkit-columns: 1; ", "Angus King readies 2024 campaign that would make him Maine's oldest senator", https://www.politico.com/news/2023/05/01/cardin-not-running-for-reelection-00094653, "Raskin gets top Democratic slot on U.S. House Oversight Committee", "Cardin raises just $29K in late 2022, fueling speculation about his political plans", "Elizabeth Warren, 73, announces Senate re-election campaign | Fox News", "Once Baker's heir apparent, Karyn Polito will leave office with him. Incumbents up for election in these three states are independents. These are the top Senate races to watch in 2024 - MSN President: general election : 2024 Polls | FiveThirtyEight And this is not the place for that announcement. Democratic Sen. Joe Manchin, perhaps the most vulnerable senator in 2024, has not yet announced his intentions to run for re-election. The Senate's top Republican thinks so", "Utah House Speaker Brad Wilson forms committee to explore run for Romney's Senate seat", "Top Trump ally gears up for Romney primary challenge", "Virginia Democratic Sen. Tim Kaine announces he's running for reelection in 2024 | CNN Politics", "Billionaire Peltz draws GOP megadonors to $5,000-a-plate fundraiser for Democrat Sen. Joe Manchin", "Manchin says he'll decide his 'political future' in December", "Manchin weighs another term as his influence peaks", https://www.nbcnews.com/meet-the-press/meetthepressblog/wis-businessman-decide-senate-run-labor-day-rcna80438, https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=2024_United_States_Senate_elections&oldid=1152677882, This page was last edited on 1 May 2023, at 16:59. From being the only Member of Congress to take a courageous vote against giving George W Bush unlimited war powers in 2001 to her pathbreaking leadership fighting for investments in peace, climate action, cannabis legalization, fair housing, abortion rights, and moreI am proud to call Barbara Lee a colleague, a mentor and a friend. I hope some of them do because I want to keep Catherine Cortez Masto and Gov. Then-President Trump won the state by a whopping 39. Further, Democrats are defending seats in six states that Biden won by a single-digit margin (Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Nevada, Michigan, Minnesota, and Maine) while Republicans are defending only two seats in states that Trump won by a single-digit margin (Florida and Texas). And this is not the place for that announcement, said Sen. Sheldon Whitehouse of Rhode Island. The 10 Senate seats most likely to flip in 2024 There are 34 seats up in 2024 - including a special election in Nebraska - of which 23 are held by Democrats or Independents. (Rankings are based on. Incumbent: Democrat Joe Manchin. Of his future, Manchin said: What I do in 2024 has nothing to do with what I do right now., Tester vowed that I will not make a decision until sometime early next year and that he is truly undecided but feels very positively about my chances., People say, thats bullshit, youve already made up your mind, Tester said. [2][3][4] Another Republican, Ben Sasse, resigned early to accept a position as president of the University of Florida; the governor of Nebraska appointed Pete Ricketts as the state's interim senator and a special election will take place concurrently with the 2024 regular Senate elections to fill the seat for the remainder of the term. Im definitely running., Sen. Jacky Rosen (D-Nev.) in an interview. Click here to contact us for media inquiries, and please donate here to support our continued expansion. 559: V: Apr.18-19. ", https://www.nationaljournal.com/s/720637/florida-florida-florida-falls-off-the-senate-map/?unlock=QCQ2Y0EOOWXI2UZU, "GOP Rep. Banks jumps into race for open Indiana Senate seat", "Hoosier free-for-all? 2024 election news: Top Senate races, Manchin, Feinstein - CNBC The map and table below shows what seats are up for election and the current incumbent in each race. -moz-columns: 1; Republicans will also benefit from the fact that the 2024 California Republican presidential primary, which will be held on the same day as the Senate primary, is expected to be hotly contested and entice Republican voters to turn out in higher numbers.[30][28]. [45] However, all three candidates quickly began raising large sums of money; for example, in the first 24 hours of her campaign, Porter raised over $1.3 million. She was elected to full terms in 1994, 2000, 2006, 2012, and 2018, and will be retiring in 2025 at the end of the 118th Congress. United States Senate election in Arizona, 2024 - Ballotpedia [6][88] Should Carper retire, U.S. Representative Lisa Blunt Rochester (D-DE) and Governor John Carney are both seen as potential candidates for the Democratic nomination, with Rochester having already expressed interest. West Virginia. Whether the 80-year-old President Joe Biden is mostly unpopular among young voters, or equaling his best-ever. One-term independent Kyrsten Sinema was elected in 2018 as a Democrat with 50.0% of the vote. ", "Cruz control: Texas Republican keeps his distance from 2024 White House hunt", "Dallas Democrat Colin Allred ponders Senate bid against Ted Cruz", "Romney, now a GOP maverick, undecided on future in politics", "Should Mitt Romney run for reelection in 2024? Class 1 senators, who were last elected in 2018, will be up for election again in 2024. The 2024 United States Senate election in California will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of California. Pollsters that did not release any horse-race polls within three weeks of an election since 1998 do not have a grade and are treated as a . [40] However, in February 2023, she finally confirmed that she would retire, ending a political career that spanned over 50 years. Gallego. Republicans took over the House following November's midterm elections. [90][91], Former U.S. Representative Stephanie Murphy,[92] former U.S. Representative Debbie Mucarsel-Powell and state Senator Shevrin Jones are seen as potential Democratic candidates. Republicans need 50 seats if they win the vice presidency or 51 if they do not. United States House of Representatives elections, 2024, Ballot access for major and minor party candidates, Cooperative of American Physicians IE Committee, Ken Carbullido, Vice President of Election Product and Technology Strategy, https://ballotpedia.org/wiki/index.php?title=United_States_Senate_elections,_2024&oldid=9103204, Pages using DynamicPageList3 dplreplace parser function, Conflicts in school board elections, 2021-2022, Special Congressional elections (2023-2024), 2022 Congressional Competitiveness Report, State Executive Competitiveness Report, 2022, State Legislative Competitiveness Report, 2022, Partisanship in 2022 United States local elections. U.S. Senate : 2024 Polls | FiveThirtyEight IE 11 is not supported. @media screen and (max-width: 892px) { And the people of Delaware have been kind enough to elect me statewide 14 times and when I travel around the state, the support and encouragement I receive is frankly unparalleled with anything Ive heard in all the years Ive been doing this. The 2024 United States Senate election in Arizona will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Arizona. NOTE: At this early point in the cycle, Inside Elections is categorizing each Senate race as either 'Solid' or 'Battleground'. Lucas Kunce at a primary election watch party on Aug. 2 in Kansas City, Mo. | If another vacancy occurs in other Class 2 or Class 3 Senate seats, that state might require a special election to take place during the 118th Congress, possibly concurrently with the other 2024 Senate elections. } The consensus map is based on the ratings from Cook Political Report,Split Ticketand Sabato's Crystal Ball. [74] 2022 gubernatorial nominee Kari Lake, 2022 Senate nominee Blake Masters,[75] attorney Karrin Taylor Robson,[76] 2022 Attorney General nominee Abraham Hamadeh, U.S. Senate waves from 1918 to 2016 are listed in the table below. 2024 United States Senate election in West Virginia - Wikipedia The U.S. Vice President, who will be determined in 2024, breaks ties in a 5050 Senate. After cutting a huge deal on climate, health care and taxes with Schumer, Manchin is now watching the 2022 elections before making a decision. Progressive Hawaii Sen. Mazie Hirono is running for reelection, spokesperson Maddy Russak said. Sen. Chris Murphy (D-Conn.), one of several rising younger senators, said he has no plans other than to run for reelection.. [52], State Senator Matt Dolan[53] and businessman Bernie Moreno[131] are running for the Republican nomination. Time will tell if it proves to be insurmountable. Here's Why She Thinks It's Possible", "Rep. Barbara Lee has spent her career as a champion for justice. U.S. Secretary of Health and Human Services, Authorization for Use of Military Force of 2001, will not accept funds from corporate PACs, 2024 California Republican presidential primary, California State Superintendent of Public Instruction, Black Women Organized for Political Action, San Francisco Public Utilities Commission, International Brotherhood of Electrical Workers, "Feinstein: Will Not Run for Reelection in 2024, Focus on This Congress", "Rep. Katie Porter launches a U.S. Senate bid", "California Rep. Adam Schiff enters marquee Senate race", "Barbara Lee, a Longtime Congresswoman, Announces a Run for Senate in California", "Who Else is Running for U.S. Senate in California Besides the Big Three? Now they just need a Senate candidate", "Feinstein says she won't step down early from Senate", "Rep. Katie Porter's most viral moments in Congress", "Adam Schiff's Chances of Winning Feinstein's Senate Seat in 2024 Run", "Trump impeachment star Adam Schiff announces U.S. Senate run", "Barbara Lee tells lawmakers she's running for Senate", "Democratic Rep. Barbara Lee files bid for open Senate seat in California", "Exclusive: Sen. Dianne Feinstein won't announce her plans for 2024 until 2024", "California Dems prepare for fierce Senate battle", "These Democrats hoping to replace Feinstein largely agree on policy. In addition, all 435 seats in the United States House of Representatives and 34 of the 100 seats in the United States Senate will be contested to determine the membership of the 119th United States . Results are updated daily at 9:30 a.m. EST and aggregated from the most recent polls from the sources listed in the methodology section below. It will take 270 electoral votes to win the 2024 presidential election. Jim Justice announcing his Senate bid in West Virginia - the seat most likely to flip party control in 2024. Yes, Republican incumbent Brian Kemp trounced Stacey Abrams in a rematch of their. I'm definitely running, said Jacky Rosen. [41], Lee, Porter, and Schiff have similar voting records in Congress and similarly progressive policy platforms. [37] A longtime progressive first elected in a 1998 special election, Lee is known for being the only member of Congress to vote against the Authorization for Use of Military Force of 2001, which led to military deployment in Afghanistan and several other countries. The 2024 Senate map just got even more difficult for Democrats - CNN The 2024 United States elections are scheduled to be held on Tuesday, November 5, 2024. -moz-columns: 1; [133], Three-term Democrat Bob Casey Jr., was re-elected in 2018 with 55.7% of the vote. All Rights Reserved. Customize your map by changing one or more states. And this is not the place for that announcement, said Sheldon Whitehouse of Rhode Island. Democrat Kristin Hedger, a businesswoman and nominee for North Dakota secretary of state in 2006 has filed paperwork to run for Cramer's seat. 2024 United States Senate election in Michigan - Wikipedia That makes for a tough cycle and it gets even harder if incumbents choose not to run. By default, all three are counted with the Democrats, as that best reflects the current situation. . [42][44], Schiff began 2023 with $20.6 million in his campaign account compared to $7.7 million for Porter and just under $55,000 for Lee. Trump won the Buckeye State by. Table last updated: January 24, 2023 Incumbents not running for re-election The 2024 Senate playing field starts to take shape - CNN The current 2024 Senate ratings from The Cook Political Report. An early look at key 2024 Senate races and candidates 2024 Senate Elections: Consensus Forecast The U.S. Senate has 51 Democrats (including three independents) and 49 Republicans. However, the three-way division in the Democratic field could help a Republican reach the general election. columns: 3; Representatives Jamie Raskin and David Trone and Prince George's County Executive Angela Alsobrooks are all seen as potential candidates in the Democratic primary. Democrats face a daunting 2024 Senate map that puts them on defense in 23 of the cycle's 34 races. Elections to the U.S. Senate will be held on November 5, 2024, and 33 of the 100 seats are up for regular election. And one Democrat whos up in 2024 declined to give even a hint of where hes leaning. [69] Sinema has received a cross-party endorsement from Republican Senator Lisa Murkowski. Sen. Sherrod Brown is the only Democrat to win a nonjudicial statewide race in Ohio over the past decade, so the big question for 2024 is whether he can . Senators are divided into three classes whose terms are staggered so that a different class is elected every two years. The 2024 United States Senate elections are scheduled to be held on November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections. Click states on this interactive map to create your own 2024 election forecast. Others were more firm. This section will provide important dates throughout the 2024 congressional election cycle, including filing deadlines, primaries, and campaign finance reporting deadlines, when available. Former President Donald Trump won Montana by 16 points and West Virginia by 39 points, but Democrats concerns extend further afield. 2024 United States Senate election in Maryland - Wikipedia The filing deadline is April 8, 2024. It's rated a toss-up and is one of nine key Senate battlegrounds, according to The Cook . [127] There has been speculation that Former Governor Andrew Cuomo may primary Gillibrand for the Democrat and Working Families nomination. Carper, whos served in the Senate since 2001 and held statewide office since 1977, said he wants to talk to his wife and that the options are wide open on whether he runs again. [43][42] Other important factors include geography, as Schiff and Porter both represent southern California while Lee represents northern California, and diversity, as a victory by Schiff would leave California with no female Senators for the first time since 1992 while a victory by Lee would make her the first black woman in the Senate since Harris left office in 2021. Special elections may be held to fill vacancies that occur in the 118th Congress. Thats very gratifying, but its its a bit early to be deciding. United States Congress elections, 2024 - Ballotpedia Filed under 2024 . [139] Former U.S. Secretary of Housing and Urban Development and former San Antonio Mayor Julin Castro, U.S. Representative Colin Allred, state Senator Roland Gutierrez, and state Representative James Talarico are also considered possible Democratic candidates. [86] Possible Republican candidates include lobbyist Robert Hyde and lawyer Peter Lumag. John Glen Weaver running for Nebraska's open Class II U.S. Senate seat", "Democrat Ruben Gallego launches run for Senate in Arizona as Sinema stays silent", "Sheriff Mark Lamb says he's running for US Senate in Arizona", "2024 Elections: Arizonans already declaring candidacies for House and Senate; here's what you should know", "GOP attorney Eric Early announces Senate campaign", "Long Beach RWF to welcome future Senate candidate Denice Gary Pandol to June 11 breakfast meeting", "Barbara Lee, a Longtime Congresswoman, Is Running for Senate in California", "Peter Yuan Liu FEC Statement of Candidacy", "Barack Obama Mandela FEC Statement of Candidacy", "Progressive Rep. Katie Porter launches bid for Feinstein's California Senate seat | CNN Politics", "Anti-Trump stalwart Rep. Adam Schiff enters California Senate race", "Candidate Listing for 2024 General Election", "Rick Scott to run for reelection in '24", "GOP Rep. Jim Banks announces Indiana US Senate campaign", "Brunswick Democrat is first to enter the 2024 U.S. Senate race in Maine", "Maine Independent Senator Angus King intends to seek third term in U.S. Senate in 2024", "2024 Presidential Primary Election State Candidates List", "Warren says she will run for reelection in 2024", "Campaigns Beginning for 2024 Michigan U.S. Senate Race", "Rep. Elissa Slotkin entering race to succeed retiring Michigan Democratic Sen. Debbie Stabenow", "State Board of Ed member Nikki Snyder launches U.S. Senate campaign", "Ty Pinkins, Army veteran and Delta advocate, announces U.S. Senate run", "Army veteran Ty Pinkins announces campaign against US Sen. Roger Wicker", "Columbia activist announces bid for U.S. Senate", "Hawley says he's not interested in presidential run at this time", "Lucas Kunce announces candidacy for U.S. Senate", "Montana Sen. Jon Tester to seek reelection in major boost for Democrats", "Fischer says she'll seek third Senate term in 2024", "Watch Now: Chris Janicek Won't Quit Senate Race, Democrats Eye Write-In Candidate", "Rosen announces 2024 election plans with few Republican challengers so far", "Rosen announces 2024 Senate re-election campaign", "Menendez builds warchest for 2024 re-election campaign", "A Democratic mayor wants to run against Sen. Menendez. Each block represents one of the one hundred seats in the U.S. Senate. 1. Ruben Gallego is a Democratic Party candidate for office. [89], Former Governor and incumbent one-term Republican Rick Scott was elected in 2018 with 50.06% of the vote. Senate Democrats are staring down the risk of their own Great Resignation in 2024. -moz-columns: 3; [26], Two-term Republican Roger Wicker was re-elected in 2018 with 58.5% of the vote. The party, which currently holds a narrow 51-49 majority, must defend 23. She is running for re-election. [134][135][136][137], Three-term Democrat Sheldon Whitehouse was re-elected in 2018 with 61.4% of the vote. [103][104], Two-term Democrat Elizabeth Warren was re-elected in 2018 with 60.3% of the vote. There have been reports that Manchin plans to run for a third full term. 2024 United States Senate election in Virginia - Wikipedia One-term Republican Marsha Blackburn was elected in 2018 with 54.7% of the vote. And Ill probably make a decision early next year. U.S. Senate, Arizona, 2024. No candidates. When counted with a party, the map will display a striped result. West Virginia. At the moment, the only assumed Democratic retirement is 89-year-old Sen. Dianne Feinstein (D-Calif.), who has not announced any plans. Blackburn has filed paperwork to run for reelection. #HowBlackWomenLead #BlackWomenMatter #BLEE4Senate @BWOPAPACEndorsed (Quote tweet)", "Republicans are still trying to rile up their base by targeting Nancy Pelosi", "Warren backs Porter in California Senate primary", "Feinstein, 89, Faces Pressure on 2024 as Porter Enters Race", "Pelosi to back Schiff in Calif. Senate race if Feinstein doesn't run", "B'Shalom: Election 2024 Endorsements and Announcements", "The Democratic Plot To Take Down Their Impeachment Hero", "Three more California House Democrats are supporting Adam Schiff's bid for Senate, further bolstering a large list of Hill endorsements", "Nancy Pelosi endorses Adam Schiff for Senate seat from California if Sen. Dianne Feinstein doesn't run", "They know the way from Sacramento to L.A.", "Defending Democracy And Other Things: Adam Schiff runs for U.S. Senate", "California IATSE Council Endorses Adam Schiff for U.S. Senate", "Business Manager's Message April 2023: Why Politics Matter", Fepbrina Keivaulqe Autiameineire (NPP) for Senate, https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=2024_United_States_Senate_election_in_California&oldid=1152592712, United States Senate elections in California, Short description with empty Wikidata description, Pages using multiple image with auto scaled images, Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike License 3.0, Raji Rab, commercial pilot and perennial candidate, Eric Early, attorney and perennial candidate, James Bradley, healthcare executive, candidate for U.S. Senate in, Peter Liu, entrepreneur and candidate for, Mark Meuser, attorney and runner-up for U.S. Senate in, Fepbrina Keivaulqe Autiameineire, nonprofit director, This page was last edited on 1 May 2023, at 04:49. } [150], Two-term Democrat Tammy Baldwin was re-elected in 2018 with 55.4% of the vote. The U.S. Senate has 51 Democrats (including three independents) and 49 Republicans. [44], Democrat Alisha Shelton, a mental health practitioner from Omaha, has announced a run for the Democratic nomination in order to challenge Fischer. Use them to create and share your own Senate forecast. Even as the caucus pushes to expand a 50-50 majority this fall, its bracing for a fight to defend 23 seats to the GOPs 10 in the next election cycle many of them in red and purple territory. Language links are at the top of the page across from the title. Use them to create and share your own Senate forecast. [26], One-term Republican Mike Braun was elected in 2018 with 50.8% of the vote. Share or Embed your Map: Select 'Share Map' button above. The GOP Is Trying To Tilt Montana's Senate Race In Its Favor. She announced she would not caucus with Republicans. 2024 United States Senate election in California. Here's where the Senate map stands 18 months before Election Day 2024. [38] Lee filed to run for Senate in early February 2023 and formally announced her campaign later that month. Though Sanders hasnt ruled out a third run for president, three of President Joe Bidens former primary rivals are committed to running for reelection to the chamber. Democrats gained a net of one seat in the 2022 general elections, maintaining control of the chamber. [39], One-term Republican Josh Hawley was elected in 2018 with 51.4% of the vote. United States Senate election in Pennsylvania, 2024 No. [87] He has said "the options are wide open" on whether he runs again. Senate GOP Election Chief Sees 2024 Map As Decade-Defining: Q&A She confirmed that she would stay in the race even if Feinstein chose to run for another term. Several senators are waiting to see how the midterms shake out in a month before making any moves, according to interviews and statements from 22 of the 23 sitting Democrats up in 2024. Democrats are. 0. Democratic incumbents held on in Michigan and Wisconsin, and Josh Shapiro won a handsome victory in Pennsylvania. [14] The 2024 election is only the second California Senate race without an incumbent since 1992, with the other being the 2016 election following the retirement of Barbara Boxer.
